Are You Tracking Your Team's Turnover Differential? You Should Be.

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The only way to win a game of basketball is by putting the ball through the hoop more than the other team. And one of the best ways of ensuring that this happens is by getting more cracks at the basket than they do.

This is one of the most crucial elements to winning the possession war, and turnovers play a key role in the battle.


Why Keep Track of Turnover Differential?

Tracking the numbers can make a big difference in knowing how you stack up against the other team. In particular, you should look at your “turnover differential”...

If your turnover differential is -5, then you have 5 more turnovers than your opponent. That’s not good and you know you need to make improvements to give your team a better chance to win. If your turnover differential is +5, your performing well in this area and you want to continue the trend.

Here you can see a screenshot of the Key Game Stats Report from Breakthrough Stats which shows you’re turnover differential:

In the screenshot, you can see your team is negative 7 for the turnover differential. That's not good!! This is something you'll want to remedy ASAP to give your team a chance to win.

As a coach you want to know which parts of the game are going your way and where you may need some help.

And for players it is much more compelling to think about concrete statistics than a general call to “limit turnovers”. Everyone knows that’s important, but being able to actually see how you are doing compared to the other team will elicit the effort and focus required to win the possession war.


How Important are Turnovers?

There are almost as many reasons to limit turnovers as there are reasons to put the ball in the basket.

A turnover takes away one of your potential scoring opportunities. This is one reason that turnovers are harmful. You lose an opportunity to shoot or get fouled.

This is the most obvious factor. But there are other factors that affect your team...


Turnovers Lead to Fast Breaks and Fouls

Consider this. How many turnovers results in fast break opportunities for your opponent?

How often do your players try to make up for their mistake and foul in transition defense? How often does your opponent get offensive rebounds and put-backs while your defense is scrambling in transition?

Turnovers quite often lead to high percentage fast break shots for your opponent and can cause you to get in foul trouble.

There are plenty of reasons to pay attention to turnovers. An attempt by your worst shooter has a much better chance of going in than a shot you didn’t even take. Live ball turnovers such as steals frequently catch your defense off guard and lead to easy makes or frustrating fouls. And nothing kills momentum faster than handing the ball to the other team.


What is the Goal?

All of these negatives that come from giveaways are turned to your benefit when it’s your team generating the turnovers. Fast break points, easy buckets and free throws, these are the quickest ways to get back in a game or build an insurmountable lead and turnovers can make them all happen.

However, you don’t want your players to think about going for steals so much as you want them to pay attention to "playing the right way" -- and ultimately winning the turnover battle each and every night.

The importance and value of a possession is one of the most important things your players can learn. Tracking turnovers and using them to teach your team will bring this lesson home every time they play. Having the statistics readily available will also naturally increase their focus, performance, and feelings of accomplishment. Few things matter more.


Related Pages & Helpful Resources

9 Stats That Every Serious Basketball Coach Should Track
Tracking Rebounding Stats
Breatkhrough Stats App - Track Stats on Your iPad or iPhone




Comments

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David says:
1/14/2014 at 10:34:16 AM

"A turnover not only gives your opponent one more possession than they would have otherwise had"

This is not true. Unless you are holding the ball for the last shot, the opponents are going to have that possession whether it comes after a turnover, a miss, or a score.

"it also takes away one of your own potential scoring opportunities."

This is why turnovers are harmful. You don't get to shoot or get fouled.

So you don't lose the "possession war," you lose the scoring opportunity war.

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Ken Sartini says:
1/14/2014 at 10:37:48 AM

I look at it this way David -

I turn it over, you come down and score, 2 or 3, thats a 4-5 point turn around. Do that several times in a game and you are in big trouble. (providing they score)

I think we are saying the same thing, its all semantics. JMO

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Nele says:
1/16/2014 at 3:17:45 AM

I agree with David. Semantics are important when you''re trying to sell factual information. I revision of this article would help.
Otherwise, I think the intentions are good.

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Jeff Haefner says:
1/16/2014 at 8:15:32 AM

Thanks for the feedback. You're right... poor wording and semantics in that section.

I made a quick change to the wording to solve the semantics issue. Thanks again!

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John Raff says:
1/16/2014 at 10:14:38 AM

I kind of agree, but there''''s another layer that is worth thinking about. But let''''s remember our intention here. Our goal is to field the best team possible, to do that, we must field the 5 best players possible; players who have the skill set to accomplish lots of different things on the floor.

If we agree to that, then let''''s remember that not every turnover is created equal. When a players commits a turnover, we need to think about what will happen the next time that player tries a similar play. Put another way, where does this turnover occur on the players learning arc. And we need to ask ourselves why the turnover happened.

I''''m a big believer in this: the team that commits the MOST mistakes performs better, not the fewest. Depending on the KINDS of mistakes.

Coach John Raff
www.coachjohnraff.com

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Robin Orton says:
1/16/2014 at 10:36:32 AM

The 'cost' of turnovers isn't actually a question of semantics; it's actually unquantifiable in definitive terms because of the variables (eg how early in your possession it occurs, do the bad guys get a score) though with due respect to Ken Sartini, I think it's over-simplistic to describe it as a 4/5 point net deficit. But surely the key point is that the 'precise' cost doesn't matter; turnovers are Bad News - period!

Interesting point from John Raff. Not sure I wholly agree. I'm all in favour of players trying new moves in practice games; but I don't expect them to take them in to competitive fixtures until they (and I) are confident that they're likely to work, and - specifically - NOT cause a turnover!

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Mike ODonnell says:
1/16/2014 at 10:50:28 AM

One of the interesting stats we found was that if we played at a higher tempo (we had control of the action and we were able to attack both offensively and defensively), turnovers did not appear to be as much of an issue as we "cheapened" each possession.

The more possessions there are in a game, the "less expensive" each possession becomes. However, you do need to have a significant number of successful possessions to make this plan possible.

As the possessions become fewer in number in a game, the "more valuable" each possession becomes. If possessions are few, you need to turn enough of them into points and you need enough defensive stops to take the lead. This is the same as the uptempo style but there are fewer opportunities (possessions) on both offense and defense.

When both teams are racing up and down the floor, there may be more opportunities to score and prevent the score, but you still need to have a positive differential between what you can convert and what you can prevent.

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Ken Sartini says:
1/16/2014 at 11:16:18 AM

Mike -

I think as a coach you have to give your team/players the best opportunity to win the game. A FAST paced game was not in our best interests... typically we were much smaller than the team we played, therefore, we sure weren't going to rebound with them ... and defending them in the post was no treat either haha

We played a controlled tempo style / Princeton type offense. We usually had some pretty good shooters so that fit right into our scheme of things. This made our defense better also. We had the ball more, so they were on D more... when they did get it, a lot of the time they were shooting quickly... advantage us. I think that your talent level dictates how you play. JMO

Obviously, the uptempo game worked for you... thats great. I always tell coaches, do what you do best. I don't think there is a wrong or right way... just what gives your team the best chance for the W!

I have seen teams try to push the ball a lot... many turnovers OR missed shots, back on D they go. The school I coached at always says their D is terrible. I always tell them that there is nothing wrong with their D that a few made shots wouldn't cure.

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Joe Haefner says:
1/16/2014 at 12:26:30 PM

"The team that makes the most mistakes usually wins, because doers make mistakes." - John Wooden

Wooden knew a little bit about coaching.

However, this would need to be explained more in depth for me to fully understand as it could be interpreted an infinite number of ways based on an individual's life experiences.

He also said mistakes, not turnovers. Sometimes, they are the same thing. Sometimes, they are not. Here are a couple of simple examples.

Mistake - While attacking the defense, you lose control of the ball for an instance (mistake) and regain possession, but you lose your opportunity to score.

Turnover - You let the defense attack you and you get back on your heels, lose control of the ball, and you turn the ball over. The other team is racing down the court for an easy basket.

Like Coach John alluded to... what kind of turnovers do make a difference? I don't mind if my players get a few offensive fouls from attacking the basket under control. However, I don't like unnecessary passes that result in turnovers.

In addition to the type of turnover, I think you also need to analyze turnovers per possession. If you have 15 turnovers in a 40 possession game, that can be a HUGE deal. If you have 15 turnovers in an 80 possession game, it won't be as detrimental.

You will also find that some proponents of having more turnovers per game will reference stats of the best players in the NBA and how they have the highest turnovers per game rate in the league.

There is something to be said for this. However, at the same time, is this misleading because they have the ball in their hands a significantly higher percentage than other players? So would their turnover per minute that you have the ball in your hands actually be much lower than everybody else?

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Mike ODonnell says:
1/16/2014 at 2:53:18 PM

Coach Sartini, you make a number of great points that I certainly would support wholeheartedly. However, my experience has been with teams that, if they were too patient and they turned the ball over, it was on a ball handling error. Thus, we never got a shot in the possession.

As a result of our ball handling limitations, we chose to play more of an uptempo style and we said that IF we were going to turn the ball over (we emphasized the IF and not the when), we wanted to do it with a poor shot rather than a poor pass. We were not taking "crazy" shots but we did want to put up as many shots as we could and then attack the glass.

We felt that we could manage the outcomes better with our rebounding and organized transition defense following poor shot selection rather than having to race back and try to prevent a negative numbers situation (more attackers than defenders) against us when we turned the ball over following a poor pass.

What you stated regarding the make-up of your team certainly would suggest that each offensive possession should increase in value for you. Secondly, by putting forcing your opponent to play significantly longer on defense makes it increasingly difficult for your opponent as the game progresses (increased fatigue and fouls).

Personally, I liked what we did in terms of attacking full court offensively and defensively because of the players on our team although not being overly talented. We were able to play our entire bench (we dressed 11-12 people depending upon the night) by bringing them in by waves (much like Grinnell College). We remained fresher throughout the games and season and it certainly kept the players interest high.

Could we play our up-tempo style with any 11-12 players? Certainly not. I do like what Coach Sartini said about giving players the best chance to win the game. We did that by "cheapening" each possession. On the othert hand, Coach Sartini has been equally successful by playing a more deliberate style.

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